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Analysis of Crime Trends in California

Twitter is one of the biggest information hubs of our century and things being so, a lot of information is posted and consumed within a given period of time .One of the topics that have caused a real buzz over the past few years has been the out of control sense of insecurity from school shootings to muggings and even robbery. And that is the reason why I decided to settle on the topic. Over the past few months we have witnessed an unprecedented amount of insecurity and this owes a number of reasons. Some may be social / economic which are linked to poverty and some are as a result of the high rate of joblessness and inequality among different people. By analyzing these trends in various parameters we will be able to analyze the various aspects of it and potentially give a likely prediction on what to expect in future. This will help in future planning and also help curb the menace. By analyzing the social influence and getting the relationship between the various parameters we can easily get the required parameters we need to alter the changes necessary to make it a safer place. By employing predictive analytic we can visualize the relation between some of the crime hot spots and the relation to the various social-economic parameters, it is a crucial aspect especially when it comes to long-term planning and making considerable legislative decisions regarding a locality. By getting a visual display of the time of day a certain crime takes place and the place it does, we can use this data to predict the trends as well as the situations that leads to such an occurrence, thereby helping us take control of the situation. The advantage behind visual aids we can easily analyze and it makes the entire exercise a lot more effective. When it comes to working with the various parameters linked to a certain ordeal or a continued menace by critically analyzing it a lot of aspects a revealed as opposed to other means. 1. ANALYSIS " PREDICTION 1.1 DATASET The dataset we will be analyzing is from California and it gives a good detailed analysis of the various cities and the various aspects that come with each city as we shall see. There are a good number of indicators that will give us a great idea of the situation on the ground. The given data set will also be very crucial in painting an image of the situation on the ground. From an overall population of 33,691,769 people.   Figure 2.1 A chart showing the aggravated assault against property crime. The table above was obtained from the reported crimes in the state of California in the period of 2013, and cuts across 467 cities; it gives a rough estimate of just how prevalent the crime is in the cities. After that, I went ahead to analyze the relationship between the cities with the highest aggravated assault and the lowest one in a bid to check the reason behind such a stack deviation.


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